Can self-testing be enhanced to hasten safe return of healthcare workers in pandemics? Random order, open label trial using two manufacturers' SARS-CoV-2 lateral flow devices concurrently (preprint)

ObjectivesTo inform management of competing risks from Covid-19 and key-worker absence, we evaluated whether using two manufacturers lateral flow tests (LFTs) concurrently improved SARS-CoV-2 Omicron detection and was acceptable to hospital staff. In a nested study, to understand the risks of return to work after a fixed number of days of isolation or quarantine, we examined virus culture at Days 5-7 after positive test or significant exposure. Methods and Analysis1419 fully-vaccinated Liverpool (UK) University Hospitals staff participated in a random-order, open-label trial testing whether dual LFTs improved SARS-CoV2 detection, and whether dual swabbing was acceptable to users. Main outcome was self-reported LFT result. Staff enrolled via routine testing sites for symptomatic staff and close contacts. Recruitment took place between 7th February and 8th May 2022. Participants employed nose-throat swab Innova and nose-only swab Orient Gene LFTs for 10 days, with daily LFTs taken in random order. A swab for polymerase chain reaction (PCR) analysis was taken at Day-5 and, if positive, Day-10. A questionnaire on acceptability was administered on exit. Selected participants gave swabs for viral culture on Days 5-7; swabs were delivered and returned by courier. Cultures were considered positive if cytopathic effect was apparent or the SARs-COV2 N gene sub-genomic RNA was detected by sequencing. Results226 individuals reported 1466 pairs of LFT results. Tests disagreed in 127 cases (8.7%). Orient Gene was more likely (78 cf. 49, P=0.03) to be positive. Orient Gene positive Innova negative result-pairs became more frequent over time (P<0.001). If Innova was swabbed second, it was less likely to agree with a positive Orient Gene result (P=0.005); swabbing first with Innova made no significant difference (P=0.85). Of 311 individuals completing the exit questionnaire, 90.7% reported dual swabbing was easy, 57.1% said it was no barrier to their daily routine and 65.6% preferred dual testing. Respondents had more confidence in dual c.f. single test results (median 9 cf. 8 on 10-point scale, P<0.001). Viral cultures from swabs taken at Days 5-7 were positive for 6/31 (19.4%, 7.5%-37.5%) and indeterminate for 11/31 (35.5%, 19.2%-54.6%) LFT-positive participants, indicating they were likely still infectious. ConclusionsDual brand testing increased LFT detection of SARS-CoV-2 antigen by a small but meaningful margin and was acceptable to hospital workers. Viral cultures demonstrated that policies recommending safe return to work [~]5 days after Omicron infection/exposure were flawed. Key-workers should be prepared for dynamic self-testing protocols in future pandemics. Trial registrationhttps://www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN47058442 (IRAS Project ID:311842) Key messagesO_ST_ABSWhat is already known on this topicC_ST_ABSO_LIOmicron BA.1 and BA.2 waves caused large-scale healthcare worker absence in late 2021 - early 2022, risking patient safety from both Covid-19 and reduced care capacity C_LIO_LILateral flow tests (LFTs) reliably detected SARS-CoV-2 antigen, more so with Omicron than prior variants, identifying the most infectious individuals C_LIO_LISelf-testing with LFT SARS-CoV-2 rapid antigen tests reduced Covid-19 transmission, mitigating risks of return to work, including healthcare settings C_LI What this study addsO_LIDual c.f. single brand LFT testing increased SARS-CoV-2 antigen detection marginally, but more than can be explained by extending swabbing from nose-only to nose-throat C_LIO_LINHS deployment of nose-only LFTs in response to compound pressures from Omicron, winter and pandemic burnout was safe and acceptable to most participating hospital staff C_LIO_LICulturable virus was detected confidently in a fifth (and potentially in a further third) of LFT-positive hospital workers 5-7 days after their self-referral for testing, indicating substantial protracted infectiousness C_LI How this study might affect research, practice or policyO_LIThis study shows international Covid-19 policies for return to work after fixed periods (e.g. 5 days after positive test) were flawed: too little emphasis was placed on variation in infectivity between individuals C_LIO_LIFuture pandemic preparedness needs to plan testing quality assurance unified across healthcare and community self-testing contexts, including continuous study of serial daily antigen, nucleic acid and culturable virus test results C_LI

Recombinant SARS-CoV-2 lacking initiating and internal methionine codons within ORF10 is attenuated in vivo (preprint)

SARS-CoV-2 has been proposed to encode ORF10 as the 3' terminal gene in the viral genome. However, the potential role and even existence of a functional ORF10 product has been the subject of debate. There are significant structural features in the viral genomic RNA that could, by themselves, explain the retention of the ORF10 nucleotide sequences without the need for a functional protein product. To explore this question further we made two recombinant viruses, firstly a control virus (WT) based on the genome sequence of the original Wuhan isolate and with the inclusion of the early D614G mutation in the Spike protein. We also made a second virus, identical to WT except for two additional changes that replaced the initiating ORF10 start codon and an internal methionine codon for stop codons (ORF10KO). Here we show that the two viruses have apparently identical growth kinetics in a VeroE6 cell line that over expresses TMPRSS2 (VTN cells). However, in A549 cells over expressing ACE2 and TMPRSS2 (A549-AT cells) the ORF10KO virus appears to have a small growth rate advantage. Growth competition experiments were used whereby the two viruses were mixed, passaged in either VTN or A549-AT cells and the resulting output virus was sequenced. We found that in VTN cells the WT virus quickly dominated whereas in the A549-AT cells the ORF10KO virus dominated. We then used a hamster model of SARS-CoV-2 infection and determined that the ORF10KO virus has attenuated pathogenicity (as measured by weight loss). We found an almost 10-fold reduction in viral titre in the lower respiratory tract for ORF10KO vs WT. In contrast, the WT and ORF10KO viruses had similar titres in the upper respiratory tract. Sequencing of viral RNA in the lungs of hamsters infected with ORF10KO virus revealed that this virus frequently reverts to WT. Our data suggests that the retention of a functional ORF10 sequence is highly desirable for SARS-CoV-2 infection of hamsters and affects the virus's ability to propagate in the lower respiratory tract.

Characterisation of SARS-CoV-2 genomic variations in response to molnupiravir treatment in the AGILE Phase IIa clinical trial. (preprint)

Molnupiravir is an antiviral approved for treating COVID-19, which is thought to drive lethal error catastrophe. How this drug-induced mechanism of action impacts the emergence of resistance mutations is unclear. AGILE Candidate Specific Trial (CST)-2 is a phase IIa trial randomising 180 adult outpatients with SARS-COV-2 infection within five days of symptom onset to molnupiravir or placebo, with rich serial sampling of nasopharyngeal swabs over 29 days. Viral sequences, that passed genome quality control criteria, from subjects who received molnupiravir (n=59) or a placebo (n=65) were analysed by high-throughput amplicon sequencing. We found evidence that molnupiravir significantly increased the transition/transversion frequency in SARS-CoV-2 in patients, a hallmark of molnupiravir treatment. Over the course of treatment, no consistent, accumulated mutations were identified in either arm.

SARS-CoV-2 minor variant genomes at the start of the pandemic contained markers of VoCs (preprint)

SARS-CoV-2 emerged through limited zoonotic spillovers and was predicted to have constrained sequence diversity. The dominant consensus and minor variant genomes were determined from the earliest samples associated with the Huanan market and the start of the pandemic. The sequence data confirmed that the dominant consensus genomes shared very close homology. However, there were minor variant genomes present in each sample, which encompassed synonymous and non-synonymous changes. Fusion sequences characteristic of defective RNAs were identified that could be linked between patients. Several substitutions (but not deletions) associated with much later variants of concern (VoCs) were already present as minor variant genomes. This suggests it may be possible to predict futures variants at the start of a pandemic by examining where variability in sequence occurs.

Rapid selection of P323L in the SARS-CoV-2 polymerase (NSP12) in humans and non-human primate models and confers a large plaque phenotype (preprint)

The mutational landscape of SARS-CoV-2 varies at both the dominant viral genome sequence and minor genomic variant population. An early change associated with transmissibility was the D614G substitution in the spike protein. This appeared to be accompanied by a P323L substitution in the viral polymerase (NSP12), but this latter change was not under strong selective pressure. Investigation of P323L/D614G changes in the human population showed rapid emergence during the containment phase and early surge phase of wave 1 in the UK. This rapid substitution was from minor genomic variants to become part of the dominant viral genome sequence. A rapid emergence of 323L but not 614G was observed in a non-human primate model of COVID-19 using a starting virus with P323 and D614 in the dominant genome sequence and 323L and 614G in the minor variant population. In cell culture, a recombinant virus with 323L in NSP12 had a larger plaque size than the same recombinant virus with P323. These data suggest that it may be possible to predict the emergence of a new variant based on tracking the distribution and frequency of minor variant genomes at a population level, rather than just focusing on providing information on the dominant viral genome sequence e.g., consensus level reporting. The ability to predict an emerging variant of SARS-CoV-2 in the global landscape may aid in the evaluation of medical countermeasures and non-pharmaceutical interventions.

Mutations that adapt SARS-CoV-2 to mustelid hosts do not increase fitness in the human airway. (preprint)

SARS-CoV-2 has a broad mammalian species tropism infecting humans, cats, dogs and farmed mink. Since the start of the 2019 pandemic several reverse zoonotic outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 have occurred in mink, one of which reinfected humans and caused a cluster of infections in Denmark. Here we investigate the molecular basis of mink and ferret adaptation and demonstrate the spike mutations Y453F, F486L, and N501T all specifically adapt SARS-CoV-2 to use mustelid ACE2. Furthermore, we risk assess these mutations and conclude mink-adapted viruses are unlikely to pose an increased threat to humans, as Y453F attenuates the virus replication in human cells and all 3 mink-adaptations have minimal antigenic impact. Finally, we show that certain SARS-CoV-2 variants emerging from circulation in humans may naturally have a greater propensity to infect mustelid hosts and therefore these species should continue to be surveyed for reverse zoonotic infections.

Mutations that adapt SARS-CoV-2 to mustelid hosts do not increase fitness in the human airway. (preprint)

SARS-CoV-2 has a broad mammalian species tropism infecting humans, cats, dogs and farmed mink. Since the start of the 2019 pandemic several reverse zoonotic outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2 have occurred in mink, one of which reinfected humans and caused a cluster of infections in Denmark. Here we investigate the molecular basis of mink and ferret adaptation and demonstrate the spike mutations Y453F, F486L, and N501T all specifically adapt SARS-CoV-2 to use mustelid ACE2. Furthermore, we risk assess these mutations and conclude mink-adapted viruses are unlikely to pose an increased threat to humans, as Y453F attenuates the virus replication in human cells and all 3 mink-adaptations have minimal antigenic impact. Finally, we show that certain SARS-CoV-2 variants emerging from circulation in humans may naturally have a greater propensity to infect mustelid hosts and therefore these species should continue to be surveyed for reverse zoonotic infections.

Distinct immune responses in patients infected with influenza or SARS-CoV-2, and in COVID-19 survivors, characterised by transcriptomic and cellular abundance differences in blood. (preprint)

Background The worldwide pandemic caused by SARS-CoV-2 has claimed millions of lives and has had a profound effect on global life. Understanding the pathogenicity of the virus and the body's response to infection is crucial in improving patient management, prognosis, and therapeutic strategies. To address this, we performed functional transcriptomic profiling to better understand the generic and specific effects of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Methods Whole blood RNA sequencing was used to profile a well characterised cohort of patients hospitalised with COVID-19, during the first wave of the pandemic prior to the availability of approved COVID-19 treatments and who went on to survive or die of COVID-19, and patients hospitalised with influenza virus infection between 2017 and 2019. Clinical parameters between patient groups were compared, and several bioinformatic tools were used to assess differences in transcript abundances and cellular composition. Results The analyses revealed contrasting innate and adaptive immune programmes, with transcripts and cell subsets associated with the innate immune response elevated in patients with influenza, and those involved in the adaptive immune response elevated in patients with COVID-19. Topological analysis identified additional gene signatures that differentiated patients with COVID-19 from patients with influenza, including insulin resistance, mitochondrial oxidative stress and interferon signalling. An efficient adaptive immune response was furthermore associated with patient survival, while an inflammatory response predicted death in patients with COVID-19. A potential prognostic signature was found based on a selection of transcript abundances, associated with circulating immunoglobulins, nucleosome assembly, cytokine production and T cell activation, in the blood transcriptome of COVID-19 patients, upon admission to hospital, which can be used to stratify patients likely to survive or die. Conclusions The results identified distinct immunological signatures between SARS-CoV-2 and influenza, prognostic of disease progression and indicative of different targeted therapies. The altered transcript abundances associated with COVID-19 survivors can be used to predict more severe outcomes in patients with COVID-19.

Sequence analysis of SARS-CoV-2 in nasopharyngeal samples from patients with COVID-19 illustrates population variation and diverse phenotypes, placing the in vitro growth properties of B.1.1.7 and B.1.351 lineage viruses in context. (preprint)

New variants of SARS-CoV-2 are continuing to emerge and dominate the regional and global sequence landscapes. Several variants have been labelled as Variants of Concern (VOCs) because of perceptions or evidence that these may have a transmission advantage, increased risk of morbidly and/or mortality or immune evasion in the context of prior infection or vaccination. Placing the VOCs in context and also the underlying variability of SARS-CoV-2 is essential in understanding virus evolution and selection pressures. Sequences of SARS-CoV-2 in nasopharyngeal swabs from hospitalised patients in the UK were determined and virus isolated. The data indicated the virus existed as a population with a consensus level and non-synonymous changes at a minor variant. For example, viruses containing the nsp12 P323L variation from the Wuhan reference sequence, contained minor variants at the position including P and F and other amino acids. These populations were generally preserved when isolates were amplified in cell culture. In order to place VOCs B.1.1.7 (the UK Kent variant) and B.1.351 (the South African variant) in context their growth was compared to a spread of other clinical isolates. The data indicated that the growth in cell culture of the B.1.1.7 VOC was no different from other variants, suggesting that its apparent transmission advantage was not down to replicating more quickly. Growth of B.1.351 was towards the higher end of the variants. Overall, the study suggested that studying the biology of SARS-CoV-2 is complicated by population dynamics and that these need to be considered with new variants.

Amplicon and metagenomic analysis of MERS-CoV and the microbiome in patients with severe Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) (preprint)

Middle East Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) is a zoonotic infection that emerged in the Middle East in 2012. Symptoms range from mild to severe and include both respiratory and gastrointestinal illnesses. The virus is mainly present in camel populations with occasional spill overs into humans. The severity of infection in humans is influenced by numerous factors and similar to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) underlying health complications can play a major role. Currently, MERS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2 are co-incident in the Middle East and a rapid way is required of sequencing MERS-CoV to derive genotype information for molecular epidemiology. Additionally, complicating factors in MERS-CoV infections are co-infections that require clinical management. The ability to rapidly characterise these infections would be advantageous. To rapidly sequence MERS-CoV, we developed an amplicon-based approach coupled to Oxford Nanopore long read length sequencing. The advantage of this approach is that insertions and deletions can be identified – which are the major drivers of genotype change in coronaviruses. This and a metagenomic approach were evaluated on clinical samples from patients with MERS. The data illustrated that whole genome or near whole genome information on MERS-CoV could be rapidly obtained. This approach provided data on both consensus genomes and the presence of minor variants including deletion mutants. Whereas, the metagenomic analysis provided information of the background microbiome.

Sequential infection with influenza A virus followed by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) leads to more severe disease and encephalitis in a mouse model of COVID-19. (preprint)

COVID-19 is a spectrum of clinical symptoms in humans caused by infection with SARS-CoV-2, a recently emerged coronavirus that has rapidly caused a pandemic. Coalescence of a second wave of this virus with seasonal respiratory viruses, particularly influenza virus is a possible global health concern. To investigate this, transgenic mice expressing the human ACE2 receptor driven by the epithelial cell cytokeratin-18 gene promoter (K18-hACE2) were first infected with IAV followed by SARS-CoV-2. The host response and effect on virus biology was compared to K18-hACE2 mice infected with IAV or SARS-CoV-2 only. Infection of mice with each individual virus resulted in a disease phenotype compared to control mice. Although, SARS-CoV-2 RNA synthesis appeared significantly reduced in the sequentially infected mice, these mice had a more rapid weight loss, more severe lung damage and a prolongation of the innate response compared to singly infected or control mice. The sequential infection also exacerbated the extrapulmonary manifestations associated with SARS-CoV-2. This included a more severe encephalitis. Taken together, the data suggest that the concept of "twinfection" is deleterious and mitigation steps should be instituted as part of a comprehensive public health response to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Amplicon based MinION sequencing of SARS-CoV-2 and metagenomic characterisation of nasopharyngeal swabs from patients with COVID-19 (preprint)

COVID-19 is a complex disease phenotype where the underlying microbiome could influence morbidity and mortality. Amplicon and metagenomic MinION based sequencing was used to rapidly (within 8 hours) identify SARS-CoV-2 and assess the microbiome in nasopharyngeal swabs obtained from patients with COVID-19 by the ISARIC 4C consortium.